Nico O'Reilly

PitchKeep Take · The Premier

Nico O'Reilly is a defender for Man City, age 21, £6.5m. The Premier ranks him 42nd overall by splitting Sleeper BPL 2025 (#15, 211.0 points) with the consensus of 4 other boards (42.75). Last year's Sleeper line ran 28 spots ahead of the expert/FPL mix. The third list keeps some of that production bump and refuses to throw the other boards out. That is the whole point of not just republishing The Pitch.

The 2025/26 Premier League line is 29 starts and 2643 minutes, 5 goals and 4 assists, 14 clean sheets, 25 goals against, 67 tackles and 105 CBI. Official FPL scored it at 160 points (4.7 per match) with 10 bonus. Sleeper's table turned the same counting stats into 211.0. Defenders get 10 a goal, 7 an assist, 6 a clean sheet, and −2 a goal against. CBI at 0.4 and tackles at 1 are how a centre-back cracks the overall 50.

Underlying: 6.12 xG, 2.67 xA, 8.79 xGI. The defensive events are the floor: 67 tackles, 105 clearances/blocks/interceptions, 14 shutouts. Sleeper is built to notice that. ICT and xGI boards are not, which is why a centre-back's spread on this board is usually ugly and still informative. The friendliest board is FPL EP Next at 11; the coldest is RotoWire GW1 at 78.

Market: £6.5m, 11 boards on the file. Price is the FPL tax, not the rank. The Premier is who produced and who the boards still believe. FPL's own EP-next is 3.1. ICT 164.1.

Instruction: he is a starter in deep Sleeper and a squad/rotation piece in 10-team FPL. Pay Premier #42 money, not a leftover 2024 reputation, not waiver dust. Nearby on The Premier: Nordi Mukiele, Martin Ødegaard, Jurriën Timber. Versus The Pitch (Sleeper-only #15), the hybrid moves him down to #42. That move is the third list doing its job.

Age 21 is the other half of a hybrid. The 2025/26 counting line is one season. The Athletic-style youth lean on this board exists specifically so a Man City kid does not get stuck behind a 32-year-old who had a nice bonus year. Sleeper still has to see the minutes. 29 starts is the beginning of a case, not the end of one.

Full-backs and centre-backs separate on this board by attacking events. 5 goals and 4 assists are how a defender outruns his GA column. Without those, you are betting 14 clean sheets and the CBI stream (105) against 25 goals against at −2 a piece. Man City's 2026/27 defensive shape is therefore half of this player's rank. The other half already happened, across 29 starts.

How to use the file: The Pitch is the Sleeper-only 400 (he is #15 there). The Premier is the 50/50 with every other board we track. Attack, Midfield, Defence, and Keepers re-rank the same Sleeper table by position. BK Value on this page follows The Premier when you are on the hybrid calculator and The Pitch when you are on the Sleeper calculator. Same curve either way - 12,000 at 1.01.