Murillo Santos

PitchKeep Take · The Premier

Murillo Santos is a defender for Nott'm Forest, age 24, £5.5m. The Premier ranks him 83rd overall by splitting Sleeper BPL 2025 (#179, 78.2 points) with the consensus of 3 other boards (74.67). The industry still has him 104 spots ahead of the 2025/26 Sleeper count. The Premier pays that reputation something, not everything. Brand does not outrun a down year, and a down year does not erase a player Nott'm Forest still builds around.

The 2025/26 Premier League line is 25 starts and 2130 minutes, 1 goals and 0 assists, 6 clean sheets, 29 goals against, 35 tackles and 188 CBI. Official FPL scored it at 83 points (3.3 per match) with 3 bonus. Sleeper's table turned the same counting stats into 78.2. Defenders get 10 a goal, 7 an assist, 6 a clean sheet, and −2 a goal against. CBI at 0.4 and tackles at 1 are how a centre-back cracks the overall 50.

Underlying: 0.73 xG, 0.47 xA, 1.2 xGI. Set pieces: direct free-kick order #3 for Nott'm Forest. The defensive events are the floor: 35 tackles, 188 clearances/blocks/interceptions, 6 shutouts. Sleeper is built to notice that. ICT and xGI boards are not, which is why a centre-back's spread on this board is usually ugly and still informative. The friendliest board is RotoWire GW1 at 51; the coldest is FPL xGI at 264.

Market: £5.5m, 10 boards on the file. Price is the FPL tax, not the rank. The Premier is who produced and who the boards still believe. FPL's own EP-next is 2.5. ICT 74.0.

Instruction: deep-league starter, shallow-league watchlist. The 2025/26 line got him onto the 400. A role change gets him off it. Watch minutes, not vibes. Nearby on The Premier: Ethan Ampadu, Omar Alderete, James Trafford. Versus The Pitch (Sleeper-only #179), the hybrid moves him up to #83. That move is the third list doing its job.

He is 24, which on this board is neither a dart nor a warning label. Prime-age defenders get ranked on what they just did and whether Nott'm Forest still gives them the ball. 2130 minutes says yes. The 2026/27 FPL price (£5.5m) is the app's guess at whether that continues. The Premier is the blend of that guess and the box score.

Full-backs and centre-backs separate on this board by attacking events. 1 goals and 0 assists are how a defender outruns his GA column. Without those, you are betting 6 clean sheets and the CBI stream (188) against 29 goals against at −2 a piece. Nott'm Forest's 2026/27 defensive shape is therefore half of this player's rank. The other half already happened, across 25 starts.

How to use the file: The Pitch is the Sleeper-only 400 (he is #179 there). The Premier is the 50/50 with every other board we track. Attack, Midfield, Defence, and Keepers re-rank the same Sleeper table by position. BK Value on this page follows The Premier when you are on the hybrid calculator and The Pitch when you are on the Sleeper calculator. Same curve either way - 12,000 at 1.01.