PITCHKEEP

PitchKeep Take · The Premier

Leon Bailey is a midfielder for Aston Villa, age 29, £5.5m. The Premier ranks him 276th overall by splitting Sleeper BPL 2025 (#306, 22.8 points) with the consensus of 6 other boards (191.5). The industry still has him 114 spots ahead of the 2025/26 Sleeper count. The Premier pays that reputation something, not everything. Brand does not outrun a down year, and a down year does not erase a player Aston Villa still builds around.

The 2025/26 Premier League line is 3 starts and 450 minutes, 0 goals and 2 assists, 10 tackles and 7 CBI. Official FPL scored it at 21 points (1.6 per match). Sleeper's table turned the same counting stats into 22.8. Midfielders get 9 a goal, 6 an assist, and 1 a clean sheet, plus a full tackle/CBI stream. That is why a six who plays every week can outrank a ten-goal winger who sits.

Underlying: 0.5 xG, 1.46 xA, 1.96 xGI. Role at Aston Villa is the 2026/27 question sitting under the 2025/26 number. 3 starts is a starter. Anything under 25 starts is a rotation warning we already priced. Minutes are the skill that survives a finishing regression. The friendliest board is FPL Form at 42; the coldest is FPL 2025/26 Points at 311.

Market: £5.5m, 0.1% owned into the 2026/27 FPL start, 7 boards on the file. That ownership is a leftover. Either the public missed a real season or the public correctly decided the role is not repeatable. The Premier's rank is our vote. If we have him inside the first 80 and they have him at 0.4%, that is a Sleeper buy. FPL's own EP-next is 2.0. ICT 30.1.

Instruction: he is on the 400, which is already a statement, and he is not a star. Stash in Sleeper if the minutes are real. Do not let a Pitch screenshot make you start him over a Premier top-80. Nearby on The Premier: Manuel Ugarte Ribeiro, Wilson Odobert, Joshua Zirkzee. Versus The Pitch (Sleeper-only #306), the hybrid moves him up to #276. That move is the third list doing its job.

He is 29, which on this desk is neither a dart nor a warning label. Prime-age midfielders get ranked on what they just did and whether Aston Villa still gives them the ball. 450 minutes says yes. The 2026/27 FPL price (£5.5m) is the app's guess at whether that continues. The Premier is the blend of that guess and the box score.

How to use the file: The Pitch is the Sleeper-only 400 (he is #306 there). The Premier is the 50/50 with every other board we track. Attack, Midfield, Defence, and Keepers re-rank the same Sleeper table by position. BK Value on this page follows The Premier when you are on the hybrid calculator and The Pitch when you are on the Sleeper calculator. Same curve either way — 12,000 at 1.01. Unranked sources are skipped, never treated as 999, which is why a player missing from Yahoo's XI is not secretly ranked 400th.