Adam Smith

PitchKeep Take · The Premier

Adam Smith is a defender for Bournemouth, age 35, £4.5m. The Premier ranks him 259th overall by splitting Sleeper BPL 2025 (#246, 49.0 points) with the consensus of 3 other boards (316.0). Last year's Sleeper line ran 70 spots ahead of the expert/FPL mix. The third list keeps some of that production bump and refuses to throw the other boards out. That is the whole point of not just republishing The Pitch.

The 2025/26 Premier League line is 14 starts and 1073 minutes, 0 goals and 2 assists, 6 clean sheets, 16 goals against, 15 tackles and 55 CBI. Official FPL scored it at 58 points (2.6 per match) with 4 bonus. Sleeper's table turned the same counting stats into 49.0. Defenders get 10 a goal, 7 an assist, 6 a clean sheet, and −2 a goal against. CBI at 0.4 and tackles at 1 are how a centre-back cracks the overall 50.

Underlying: 0.0 xG, 0.23 xA, 0.23 xGI and 1.8 above expected assists. The defensive events are the floor: 15 tackles, 55 clearances/blocks/interceptions, 6 shutouts. Sleeper is built to notice that. ICT and xGI boards are not, which is why a centre-back's spread on this board is usually ugly and still informative. The friendliest board is FPL Form at 66; the coldest is RotoWire Fantrax / Sleeper 400 at 375.

Market: £4.5m, 8 boards on the file. Price is the FPL tax, not the rank. The Premier is who produced and who the boards still believe. FPL's own EP-next is 1.7. ICT 27.1.

Instruction: he is on the 400, which is already a statement, and he is not a star. Stash in Sleeper if the minutes are real. Do not let a Pitch screenshot make you start him over a Premier top-80. Nearby on The Premier: Lukas Nmecha, Christian Nørgaard, Lamare Bogarde. Versus The Pitch (Sleeper-only #246), the hybrid moves him down to #259. That move is the third list doing its job.

Age 35 is not a moral failing and it is not invisible. Youth-lean boards (The Athletic-style remap on this board) push him down; veteran-rating boards (WhoScored, SofaScore) keep him up. The Premier averages those instincts instead of pretending a 35-year-old defender is 24. If you need a three-year window, look younger. If you need 2026/27, he just played 1073 minutes and that still counts.

Full-backs and centre-backs separate on this board by attacking events. 0 goals and 2 assists are how a defender outruns his GA column. Without those, you are betting 6 clean sheets and the CBI stream (55) against 16 goals against at −2 a piece. Bournemouth's 2026/27 defensive shape is therefore half of this player's rank. The other half already happened, across 14 starts.

How to use the file: The Pitch is the Sleeper-only 400 (he is #246 there). The Premier is the 50/50 with every other board we track. Attack, Midfield, Defence, and Keepers re-rank the same Sleeper table by position. BK Value on this page follows The Premier when you are on the hybrid calculator and The Pitch when you are on the Sleeper calculator. Same curve either way - 12,000 at 1.01.